Vegan Investing & Growth Portfolio Blog
Complacency Evolving into Fear
Just over two weeks ago our sentiment and valuation indicators moved into an extreme zone associated with high probability of a market pullback. Investors were poorly positioned and increasing complacent to the point where any bad news would cause a reversal in the...
Reloading hedges
Last week we covered our hedges a few days too early as the selling continued faster and farther than I had anticipated. While equities are moving up approximately 1% this afternoon, I have added a new round of hedges as I suspect this bounce is temporary. The...
Adjusting to market conditions
Its only human to change investment opinions on recent market actions. Our emotions can change from day to day and from tick to tick. However, basing your decisions on loving a market more as it moves higher or loving it less as it declines will eventually prove to...
Too much love
Sifting through data this morning was the equivalent of a triple shot of espresso: Too much love for stocks. Rallies and gains have a foundation of fear and loathing, not love. Too much love is a rally killer. Its not easy to throw beloved CAGC and ZSTN back into...
A hot stove market
Up here at 8000 feet elevation at this time of year we use our wood stoves as a constant source of heat. Sure, we have propane but the glow and atmosphere of wood makes mountain life much more enjoyable in the winter. This year we've been burning some of the...
Adding to TBT
We've added to our TBT position as models are turning bearish for LT Treasuries. Gun to my head says that 2010 will be a flattish year for US equities but without a major breakdown. So, we have to capitalize on other markets a la Brazil on a pullback and the move back...
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